Legislature(1999 - 2000)

05/07/1999 03:15 PM Senate RES

Audio Topic
* first hearing in first committee of referral
+ teleconferenced
= bill was previously heard/scheduled
txt
              SENATE RESOURCES COMMITTEE                                                                                        
                     May 7, 1999                                                                                                
                      3:15 p.m.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS PRESENT                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
Senator Rick Halford, Chairman                                                                                                  
Senator Robin Taylor, Vice Chairman                                                                                             
Senator Jerry Mackie                                                                                                            
Senator Lyda Green                                                                                                              
Senator Georgianna Lincoln                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
MEMBERS ABSENT                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Senator Pete Kelly                                                                                                              
Senator Sean Parnell                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
COMMITTEE CALENDAR                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
SENATE JOINT RESOLUTION NO. 18                                                                                                  
Requesting Exxon Corporation to pay claimants for court-ordered                                                                 
damages resulting from the Exxon Valdez oil spill.                                                                              
     MOVED SJR 18 OUT OF COMMITTEE                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
CS FOR SPONSOR SUBSTITUTE FOR HOUSE BILL NO. 96(FIN)                                                                            
"An Act relating to deposits to the Alaska permanent fund from                                                                  
mineral lease rentals, royalties, royalty sale proceeds, net profit                                                             
shares under AS 38.05.180(f) and (g), federal mineral revenue                                                                   
sharing payments received by the state from mineral leases, and                                                                 
bonuses received by the state from mineral leases, and limiting                                                                 
deposits from those sources to the 25 percent required under art.                                                               
IX, sec. 15, Constitution of the State of Alaska; and providing for                                                             
an effective date."                                                                                                             
     HEARD AND HELD                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
PREVIOUS SENATE COMMITTEE ACTION                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
HB 96 - No previous Senate action.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
WITNESS REGISTER                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
Representative Norm Rokeberg                                                                                                    
Alaska State Capitol                                                                                                            
Juneau, AK  99801-1182                                                                                                          
POSITION STATEMENT:  Sponsor of HB 96                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
Ed Martin, Sr.                                                                                                                  
Kenai, Alaska                                                                                                                   
POSITION STATEMENT:  Opposed to HB 96 and any legislation that                                                                  
impacts the Permanent Fund dividend program without a vote of the                                                               
people                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Senator Jerry Ward                                                                                                              
Alaska State Capitol                                                                                                            
Juneau, AK  99801-1182                                                                                                          
POSITION STATEMENT: Discussed the effect of HB 96 on long range                                                                 
financial plans                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
ACTION NARRATIVE                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
TAPE 99-31, SIDE A                                                                                                              
Number 001                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
CHAIRMAN HALFORD called the Senate Resources Committee meeting to                                                               
order at 3:15 p.m.  Present were Senators Green, Taylor, Mackie,                                                                
Lincoln and Halford.  Chairman Halford announced the committee                                                                  
would first hear SJR 18 and then HB 96.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
               SJR 18-EXXON VALDEZ DAMAGE CLAIMS                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR LINCOLN moved SJR 18 out of committee with individual                                                                   
recommendations.  There being no objection, CHAIRMAN HALFORD                                                                    
announced the motion carried.                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
             HB  96-DEPOSITS TO THE PERMANENT FUND                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE NORM ROKEBERG, sponsor of HB 96,  explained that in                                                              
FY 1980 the state received $4.07 billion in unrestricted general                                                                
funds.  As a result, the legislature enacted legislation to                                                                     
increase, from 25 to 50 percent, the amount of mineral lease                                                                    
royalties and bonuses deposited into the corpus of the Permanent                                                                
Fund after February 15, 1980.  HB 96 changes the statutory language                                                             
enacted in 1980, and reestablishes the annual amount deposited into                                                             
the Permanent Fund to the constitutionally mandated amount of 25                                                                
percent.  HB 96 will allow a greater amount of the cash flow from                                                               
existing and new oil fields to be deposited into the general fund.                                                              
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE ROKEBERG referred to spreadsheets of revenue                                                                     
projections that will result from the enactment of HB 96, prepared                                                              
by the Department of Revenue.  He noted the smaller deposit to the                                                              
Permanent Fund will not impact the 1999 dividend; it will decrease                                                              
the 2000 dividend by approximately $1.70 per person.                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
BRETT HUBER, legislative aide to the Senate Resources Committee,                                                                
discussed a memo from the Permanent Fund Corporation that contained                                                             
responses to three questions posed by Chairman Halford.  Chairman                                                               
Halford asked if the increase from 25 from 50 percent had not                                                                   
happened, how much less money would have been deposited into the                                                                
Permanent Fund.  The answer is $80,599,795.  The second question                                                                
asked how much less income would have been earned by those deposits                                                             
had they not been at the 50 percent level.  The answer to the                                                                   
second question was $66.6 million at an average return rate of 9.5                                                              
percent for nine years.  The third question asked what the effect                                                               
would have been on Permanent Fund dividends.  The answer is that                                                                
the impact to the last dividend would have been $60.54 per                                                                      
dividend.  In addition, Chairman Halford asked what the impact                                                                  
would have been if, over that same time period, 100 percent rather                                                              
than 50 percent had been deposited. The Permanent Fund Corporation                                                              
has not responded with an exact number yet, however it estimates an                                                             
additional $322 million would have been deposited, which would have                                                             
earned an additional $264 million and increased the dividend by                                                                 
$252.                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
CHAIRMAN HALFORD said the 100 percent scenario would have occurred                                                              
if the state had saved 100 percent of its ownership share.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
There being no questions of committee members, Chairman Halford                                                                 
took public testimony.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Number 164                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
ED MARTIN, SR. informed committee members he traveled to Juneau at                                                              
his own expense to present to legislators a petition signed by                                                                  
8,866 people from the Kenai-Soldotna area.                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
CHAIRMAN HALFORD surmised that the subject of the petition was                                                                  
broader than HB 96, which, he explained, is one piece of the puzzle                                                             
in the financial dilemma.  He noted the legislation proposes to                                                                 
decrease the amount of money going into the Permanent Fund.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
MR. MARTIN said the people who signed the petition do not want the                                                              
legislature to use any money from the Permanent Fund or cap the                                                                 
Permanent Fund dividend without a vote of the people.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
CHAIRMAN HALFORD asked how many people signed the petition.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
MR. MARTIN replied he had 8,866 signatures with him, however he                                                                 
guaranteed that over 9,000 people have signed the petition. Most of                                                             
the signatures were obtained as the petitions were circulated among                                                             
about 150 businesses in the Kenai-Soldotna area.  He read a summary                                                             
of comments he received from the people he spoke with:                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
     A time for a new approach to our budget problem has come.                                                                  
     The tree has bore so much fruit, it has weakened and                                                                       
     threatened its own survival.  Shortfall - a key word to                                                                    
     justify more burden to the people.  Shortfall really                                                                       
     means government overspending and its hunger for more                                                                      
     money.                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     What government needs is to live within the funds it                                                                       
     already has, not spending more.  We should concentrate on                                                                  
     government efficiency - how to maintain the services                                                                       
     needed at a reduced cost.  Contracting to private                                                                          
     businesses.  All services needed - that does not require                                                                   
     permanent employees of government.  What savings could be                                                                  
     realized by the citizen that pays the bill?  Why hire                                                                      
     someone in government to do 100 days work a year, which                                                                    
     would require training, salary, benefits, including                                                                        
     insurance, hospitalization, pension costs, pension, per                                                                    
     diem, travel, transportation, car or truck whenever                                                                        
     needed, when contracting to one who is already trained                                                                     
     and does the work as a specialist.  Bonding insures the                                                                    
     taxpayer gets his money's worth.  Government employees do                                                                  
     not give us that efficiency.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
     We have a very serious problem when we Alaskans are                                                                        
     paying in excess of $10,000 per man, woman, and child for                                                                  
     government and its services while other states in the                                                                      
     Union spend around $3,000 per person per year.  With that                                                                  
     in mind, how can we justify any increases in funding?                                                                      
     What is needed is better management in government                                                                          
     spending.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
     How can lowering the standard of living of all Alaskans                                                                    
     by taking away the permanent fund dividend improve the                                                                     
     betterment of Alaska?  It cannot.  What it will do is                                                                      
     hurt the least able amongst us:  the children, the                                                                         
     elderly, the disabled, and the person who is trying to                                                                     
     raise a family.  Why not let the people have this                                                                          
     dividend to spend as they choose?  This will help the                                                                      
     economy of Alaska instead of requiring the less fortunate                                                                  
     to look for more public assistance which would, in turn,                                                                   
     cost more.  Administrating, maintaining, enforcement of                                                                    
     a greater public assistance program should not be our                                                                      
     goal.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
     We, as a state, are very fortunate.  We have tremendous                                                                    
     resources - land, oil, gas, timber, minerals and the                                                                       
     geographic position as a hub to the Pacific Rim.  Why not                                                                  
     use these resources and manage government more                                                                             
     efficiently?  The true goal should be for the people to                                                                    
     have every opportunity to prosper in this great state.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     I'm sure the government of Alaska has enough trained                                                                       
     people in Juneau to figure this out.  If not, when                                                                         
     election time comes, our elected officials will be                                                                         
     replaced by those who will follow the will of the people.                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
     The time has come to say, 'Enough is enough.'  It is time                                                                  
     to change attitudes and manage our government to benefit                                                                   
     all Alaskans, the people who pay the bill.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
MR. MARTIN indicated that more signatures would be forthcoming as                                                               
the petition is being circulated in Fairbanks, Wasilla, Seward,                                                                 
Homer, and Valdez. He emphasized that he participated in collecting                                                             
signatures in Kenai and Soldotna only.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
CHAIRMAN HALFORD repeated that HB 96 is a relatively small piece of                                                             
a financial puzzle that would reduce dividends by a few dollars.                                                                
He asked Mr. Martin if his position is that no effect on the                                                                    
dividend should occur without a vote of the people.                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
MR. MARTIN said that is correct and that people want the cost of                                                                
government made reasonable before other avenues are explored.  He                                                               
noted as a former director of the public works department in                                                                    
Wasilla, he believes privatization is the way to save dollars.                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
Number 319                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR TAYLOR expressed appreciation to Mr. Martin for coming to                                                               
Juneau at his own expense to talk to legislators.  He noted that a                                                              
recent weekly television station poll asked viewers whether the                                                                 
Permanent Fund should be used to support state government.  Only 20                                                             
percent of the respondents were in favor.  He recieved a similar                                                                
response from a poll he conducted in his district.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
MR. MARTIN maintained that the public is very angry about the idea                                                              
of spending more money on government programs instead of fixing the                                                             
actual problems.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR LINCOLN thanked Mr. Martin for his efforts and asked Mr.                                                                
Martin how he collected the signatures.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
MR. MARTIN replied he left copies of the petition at businesses for                                                             
employees to sign.  He noted the business community is very upset                                                               
because limiting the Permanent Fund dividend will take money out of                                                             
circulation and bankrupt some businesses.  Also, limiting the                                                                   
Permanent Fund dividend will lower the standard of living of all                                                                
Alaskans.  Instead, he suggested raising revenues through land                                                                  
sales and the creation of a new tax base.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
CHAIRMAN HALFORD asked Mr. Martin what short term method he would                                                               
suggest to cover a $100 million shortfall for essential government                                                              
services after the legislature goes through all of the steps of                                                                 
privatizating and streamlining state government services.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
MR. MARTIN said he would first look to resource development and                                                                 
would consider capping the Permanent Fund dividend as a last                                                                    
resort.  He does not believe the legislature has begun to scratch                                                               
the surface of the privatization issue.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
CHAIRMAN HALFORD maintained that although he does not like the                                                                  
idea, he would accept the establishment of a statewide sales tax                                                                
before he would support limiting the Permanent Fund dividend.                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MR. MARTIN cautioned committee members that any legislator who                                                                  
supports limiting the Permanent Fund dividend is performing                                                                     
political suicide.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR TAYLOR asked Mr. Martin to lend support to his land bill.                                                               
                                                                                                                                
MR. MARTIN stated the opportunity to homestead in Alaska was the                                                                
thing that helped him most in life.  He asked legislators to give                                                               
his children and grandchildren such opportunities.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
Number 572                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR WARD began to discuss a computer run of the prospective                                                                 
results of the House Majority long range financial plan.                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR MACKIE objected to Senator Ward's discussion on the basis                                                               
that it was not germane to HB 96.  He moved HB 96 from committee                                                                
with individual recommendations.  An unidentified committee member                                                              
objected to the motion.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR MACKIE objected to the fact that testimony is being taken                                                               
on the long range fiscal plan which is not the purpose of the                                                                   
hearing.  He noted he could agree with the Chair's decision to hear                                                             
the previous speaker because he traveled to Juneau to give his                                                                  
testimony, however he does not believe the Senate Resources                                                                     
Committee is the appropriate forum to hear the long range fiscal                                                                
plan.                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
CHAIRMAN HALFORD stated that Mr. Martin's petition deals with                                                                   
changes to the Permanent Fund, which HB 96 will affect.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR WARD asked for the committee's permission to speak and                                                                  
stated his testimony pertains to the Permanent Fund.                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR LINCOLN said that she will vote against the motion to move                                                              
HB 96 from committee because she has not had the opportunity to ask                                                             
questions of the sponsor.                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR TAYLOR agreed with Senator Lincoln and said he feels ill                                                                
prepared to move the bill from committee at this point in time.                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR MACKIE asked if Senator Ward will be addressing HB 96 or                                                                
whether he will be presenting his plan to close the fiscal gap.                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
CHAIRMAN HALFORD told Senator Ward he must tie his testimony to HB
96 from the start.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR MACKIE withdrew his motion to move HB 96 from committee.                                                                
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR WARD distributed a document to members that compares the                                                                
projected income from three plans:  the House Majority long range                                                               
financial plan which would be unveiled the following day; the                                                                   
Governor's income tax plan; and a resource development plan under                                                               
which dividends would increase.  Each plan would go into effect on                                                              
January 1, 2001.  SENATOR WARD said enactment of HB 96 will prevent                                                             
the plans from working. He maintained that the Constitutional                                                                   
Budget Reserve fund (CBR) could be used to fill the gap until the                                                               
voters choose a plan at the next election.                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR TAYLOR asked Senator Ward if any computer runs were done to                                                             
determine the impact of placing 25 percent rather than 50 percent                                                               
into the Permanent Fund under any of the plans.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR WARD said such computer runs were done and that the results                                                             
showed that the decreased deposit to the Permanent Fund would harm                                                              
the dividend program.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
CHAIRMAN HALFORD repeated that the impact would be less than $10                                                                
on future dividends, but that it would have been as high as $60 per                                                             
dividend had it been applied over the past 10 years.                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR WARD said he opposes any plan that alters the Permanent                                                                 
Fund dividend program.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
Number 572                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR TAYLOR commented that the impact of $10 per dividend is                                                                 
relatively small. He maintained that enactment of HB 96 would                                                                   
impact each of the computer runs presented by Senator Ward.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
TAPE 99-31, SIDE B                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR WARD summarized by saying the legislature is going to spend                                                             
$50 billion between the present and 2004, when the CBR runs out.                                                                
The amount of revenue generated during that time period will be $39                                                             
billion, leaving a shortfall of $11 billion.  He said he believes                                                               
the people of the state want resource development to occur to raise                                                             
revenue to fill the gap.  He emphasized it is wrong to alter the                                                                
Permanent Fund dividend program at all until the people vote on a                                                               
plan.                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR LINCOLN expressed concern that HB 96 is not part of either                                                              
Majority's plan and that a plan should not be adopted on a                                                                      
piecemeal approach.  Senator Lincoln acknowledged that although the                                                             
impact of $60 per dividend does not seem like much, it could mean                                                               
a lot to a large family.  She remarked that she wants any proposed                                                              
change to the Permanent Fund dividend program put before the                                                                    
voters.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR WARD stated that he is opposed to HB 96 because it would                                                                
alter the approach of putting the plans before the voters.  He                                                                  
remarked that the Governor's tax plan will not work after 14 years.                                                             
The resource development plan requires that resource development be                                                             
on line by the year 2004, otherwise severe cuts will have to be                                                                 
made to the state budget.                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR LINCOLN asked Senator Ward if he is implying that a special                                                             
election will be held this November.  SENATOR WARD clarified that                                                               
the vote on the plans would take place during the general election                                                              
in November of 2000.  He repeated that the CBR will cover expenses                                                              
until the year 2004.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR LINCOLN thanked Senator Ward for informing committee                                                                    
members that a House Majority plan was forthcoming.                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
Number 533                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE ROKEBERG commented that he has been working on HB 96                                                             
for several years and introduced it at this time thinking the                                                                   
political climate was right for the legislature to consider such a                                                              
change in public policy.  He expressed concern that people do not                                                               
realize that HB 96 was not introduced as part of a master plan but                                                              
it has been adopted by the House as such.  HB 96 speaks to resource                                                             
development revenue and any future leases will have to be reviewed                                                              
to determine the percentage of the income that is placed in the                                                                 
general fund, otherwise the same cash flow bind will occur.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE ROKEBERG said HB 96 can stand on its own merits, and                                                             
that in the first year it will generate $11 million to the general                                                              
fund which will reduce the need for additional taxation.  He                                                                    
repeated that HB 96 will have no impact on the amount of the                                                                    
Permanent Fund dividend this year and will reduce it by $1.76 next                                                              
year.  He thought Chairman Halford's retrospective amount of $66                                                                
would depend on the amount of revenues generated and is not a fair                                                              
analogy because it would not effect future dividends.  He added                                                                 
that the first area wide lease sale took place on the North Slope                                                               
last year and it generated $53 million, the fourth highest lease                                                                
revenue in the state's history.  The state budget would have                                                                    
received an extra $12.5 million had HB 96 been in effect.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Number 468                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
CHAIRMAN HALFORD commented that if HB 96 is enacted, every dollar                                                               
that is generated for spending will come directly from the                                                                      
principal of the Permanent Fund.  He believes the state is                                                                      
currently spending more than its share of the nonrenewable resource                                                             
trust for future generations of Alaskans.  Today's needs are being                                                              
put above the needs of tomorrow, yet tomorrow we will have less oil                                                             
revenue and need a lot more in terms of Permanent Fund revenue.  He                                                             
said his concern can best be characterized by the bumper sticker                                                                
that says, "We are spending our children's inheritance."                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE ROKEBERG noted he believes his credentials as a                                                                  
fiscal conservative are impeccable, and although he shares Chairman                                                             
Halford's concerns, he believes HB 96 is the right fiscal policy.                                                               
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR MACKIE asked Chairman Halford if he is assuming the                                                                     
Permanent Fund will be used in the future to fund government                                                                    
services.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
Number 443                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
CHAIRMAN HALFORD said that oil production will decrease at a                                                                    
consistent rate and then level out for many years.  When it levels                                                              
out the citizens might decide to use Permanent Fund income for                                                                  
government services.  That generation will only have one-quarter of                                                             
the income from Prudhoe Bay and its interest.  This political                                                                   
generation, from 1969 through to the present, has spent $70 billion                                                             
on a population of half of a million during that time frame.  He                                                                
stated he is most concerned that the next generation have the                                                                   
opportunity to make the decision on how and when to spend the                                                                   
Permanent Fund.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR MACKIE noted his concern is that if the legislature does                                                                
not make some fiscal policy decisions that provide for a balanced                                                               
budget in the future, the legislature will be setting up a scenario                                                             
in which today's children will no longer receive a Permanent Fund                                                               
dividend.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
CHAIRMAN HALFORD said he believes the government will spend                                                                     
everything that it can at any given point in time.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
Number 412                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR TAYLOR asked whether the House Majority's long range fiscal                                                             
plan relies on the $11 to $12 million of increased income to the                                                                
general fund that HB 96 would divert from the Permanent Fund to                                                                 
operate government.                                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE ROKEBERG said his understanding of the House                                                                     
Majority's plan is that it contains a component of approximately                                                                
$100 million of new revenue.  The sources of that revenue will be                                                               
the tobacco settlement money, HB 96, and additional dividends from                                                              
the Alaska Housing Finance Corporation and the Alaska Industrial                                                                
Development and Export Authority.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR TAYLOR said if HB 96 passes it will create $11 million of                                                               
new general fund revenue to support the daily operation of state                                                                
government but it will take $11 million from the corpus of the                                                                  
Permanent Fund.  He thought people need to understand the                                                                       
difference between the capital flowing into the Permanent Fund and                                                              
the interest generated off of that capital.  If the legislature                                                                 
starts spending both the interest and the capital, future                                                                       
generations will have a lot less "seed corn" to plant.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE ROKEBERG commented that the policy question rests on                                                             
whether that money should be made available for general fund                                                                    
spending in light of the $1 billion shortfall.  If the issue comes                                                              
down to taxation or lowering the amount of the dividend, he                                                                     
believes lowering the dividend will have less of a negative impact.                                                             
                                                                                                                                
CHAIRMAN HALFORD repeated that by setting aside 25 percent into the                                                             
Permanent Fund rather than 50 percent, the state will be spending                                                               
75 percent of the income each year and will be diminishing the size                                                             
of the portfolio of future generations.  He likened the situation                                                               
to a farmer who sells off parts of the farm to sustain a high                                                                   
lifestyle.  He said this political generation is used to receiving                                                              
a high level of service but it needs to figure out how to get more                                                              
for less.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE ROKEBERG stated regarding the analogy to the farmer                                                              
who is forced to sell off parts of his farm to sustain his family's                                                             
lifestyle, the legislature needs to consider that if the farmer's                                                               
wife continues with her great cooking, more and more people will                                                                
want to move in.  He said the legislature needs to consider that                                                                
Alaska has a high level of social services, the dividend, and                                                                   
immigration.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR LINCOLN expressed concern that constituents statewide do                                                                
not want the legislature to take any action that will affect the                                                                
Permanent Fund dividend and that there is no way to predict how                                                                 
much the dividend might decrease in future years if HB 96 passes.                                                               
She repeated that any plan that will impact the dividend should be                                                              
voted on by the people.   She noted that although Representative                                                                
Rokeberg said HB 96 is a simple bill and a small piece of the                                                                   
overall plan, she, as a Minority member, has not seen any plan.                                                                 
She reminded participants that although Alaska's budget is the                                                                  
largest of any state and its population is the smallest, Alaska is                                                              
unlike any other state.  She informed Representative Rokeberg that                                                              
she will not be voting for HB 96 because it affects the dividend                                                                
and will not provide the people with a chance to vote on it.                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE ROKEBERG said he agrees with Senator Lincoln and                                                                 
explained that HB 96 was not originally part of the House Majority                                                              
plan but it was adopted as such.  He agreed that the people should                                                              
vote on a plan and he would prefer a vote this year to provide more                                                             
time for implementation.  He maintained that the House has been                                                                 
arduously working on a plan for three months.  He noted this                                                                    
legislation could be enacted this year if it is the will of the                                                                 
Senate.  He asked the committee to move the bill and hold it if                                                                 
that would satisfy the committee's concerns about the House                                                                     
Majority plan.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR TAYLOR asked Representative Rokeberg if HB 96 is a part of                                                              
the House Majority's long range fiscal plan.  REPRESENTATIVE                                                                    
ROKEBERG said it is.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR TAYLOR stated that according to Senators Torgerson and                                                                  
Ward, the Governor's tax plan "falls off a cliff" in about 12 to 14                                                             
years.  He asked Representative Rokeberg if he is assuming that the                                                             
new income generated for the general fund from resource development                                                             
will benefit from the enactment of HB 96 and will do so at the                                                                  
expense of the corpus of the Permanent Fund.                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE ROKEBERG explained that the House plan uses a                                                                    
Logsdon perspective and a sensitivity matrix as to probabilities of                                                             
new fields and production to enhance the probability of resource                                                                
income.                                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
CHAIRMAN HALFORD said he understands the plans to take income from                                                              
the Permanent Fund instead of the CBR account and that the                                                                      
Permanent Fund generates higher income so the state will lose more.                                                             
He thought that variable would skew people's decisions.                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE ROKEBERG  said the assets of the House plan would be                                                             
managed as part of the Permanent Fund and would therefore get a                                                                 
higher rate of return.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
SENATOR TAYLOR said he would prefer to invest 100 percent of oil                                                                
royalties into the Permanent Fund and then use the income from that                                                             
Fund in the future when the people need to rely on it.  He said the                                                             
argument is whether we should be saving more of the seed corn or                                                                
eating it today.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE ROKEBERG said it depends on the price of oil.                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
TAPE 99-32, SIDE A                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE ROKEBERG noted the House plan assumes the CBR will                                                               
be depleted within two years.   Senator Ward's estimate of four                                                                 
years could be based on higher oil prices.                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
CHAIRMAN HALFORD noted the question of what government services                                                                 
people want and how to pay for those services has not been                                                                      
addressed for 30 years and needs to be.  He then adjourned the                                                                  
meeting.                                                                                                                        

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